Dr. Glenn Mueller’s 2011 Market Cycle Forecast for the first quarter of 2011 is out. This is a very interesting report as it trends the current environment out to the first quarter of next year. Texas, and Austin in particular, seem to be out ahead of all markets in terms of their predicted recovery for Office, Retail, and Industrial, while major markets like New York, Philadelphia, San Diego, and San Francisco are leading apartment markets.
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The Linneman Letter
Take a look at Dr. Peter Linneman’s quarterly market preview. He is one of the pre-eminent real estate prognosticators that we follow. The preview discusses the impact of jobs on the real estate recession and gives insight that might bring solace to current investors in real estate that are facing some of the challenges presented by this market.
The Linneman Letter is a quarterly real estate and economic newsletter published by Linneman Associates. The link to the copyrighted article is available to you with permission from Linneman Associates. It is for the sole use of investinealestate.com and cannot be reproduced, forwarded, or edited in any way without the express written consent of Linneman Associates. Contact Linneman Associates for more information about the full publication and subscription potential.
Dr. Mueller’s “Commercial Real Estate as an Inflation Hedge”
“Income-producing real estate has produced positive long-term returns that have grown at 2.02 times the rate of inflation over the past 32 years…”
Though many investors are having difficult times in real estate now, Dr. Mueller points out the long-term benefits of investing in real estate. He also points out that occupancy increases usually lag employment growth by a few quarters; a good benchmark as you evaluate economic conditions and timing for investment.
Office vacancy rates hit highs not seen since 1994
Tough news for the office sector as vacancy rates hit highs not seen since 1994…
Although the pace at which it is getting worse is not as fast. Capital will determine the future of many buildings. Well capitalized assets or borrowers are in the best position to restructure their positions with banks.
Marcus & Millichap Research Brief
Good jobs report, even though 48,000 jobs were created by the hiring of census workers.
However, approximately 289 million square feet of retail vacancy was created in this recession. Slow expansion from retailers means the retail vacancy problem will be around for quite some time.
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