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Archive for Real Estate Recovery

2011 Forecast for Single Tenant Net Leased properties bodes well for Sellers

Single tenant net leased properties are widely misunderstood by the private investor. They can provide steady returns and a hedge against inflation because the tenant pays all of the expenses no matter what they increase. It is, however, important to look carefully at the lease, location, and tenant. Marcus and Millichap’s 2011 outlook is a good read for the private investor. There is much to interpret in this research, however, as the market is changing dramatically. Returns have gone down, and values have gone up as investors turn to safety.  Moreover, the amount of available product is down considerably. This bodes well for sellers, but makes it difficult for buyers to find good product.

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Banks keep failing…

…and as a result, Bank of America, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo hold 33% of all U.S. deposits, up from 21% in 2006. It doesn’t look like too big to fail is much of a concern any more.

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Dr. Glenn Mueller’s 2011 Cycle Forecast has now been published.

The 2nd quarter 2011 Market Cycle Forecast predicts a slight improvement in occupancy across all product types. More importantly, the report predicts slight rent growth during that quarter. This is the first and most significant step in the real estate recovery.

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The alleged “double dip”, threat or opportunity in real estate?

Well located real estate acquired with conservative financing has historically resulted in long term benefit for the investor. In today’s market, even if the “double dip” does occur, utilizing this strategy can offer investors a buying opportunity that will create significant wealth. Real estate is a long term hold and while this article discusses the challenges associated with flipping, it seems to be pointing out the problem that caused real estate values to plummet in the first place.  Investors saw real estate as easy money”…simply buy and the cash will come rolling in. Acquiring a property to flip, unless it is part of a strategy associated with a sophisticated investment fund, is risky. Buying  property based upon solid fundamentals that will lead to long term growth and profit.

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US Commercial Property Service Companies rebound in the Second Quarter

Service companies like Jones Lang LaSalle and CB Richard Ellis are great barometers of market conditions. They may not necessarily indicate that a market is improving, but increases in revenue and profits certainly indicate that there is increased deal flow. A greater number of transactions indicates that there is liquidity in the market related to investment sales and financing. Increase leasing activity can also indicate corporate growth or at least decision making. Whatever the case may be, an increase in the number of transactions occurring in the commercial real estate market place is a positive sign.

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